Signal Performance
Did the alerts work? Realized forward return after each trigger — close on the trigger day vs N trading days later, from daily prices.
Window
Forward return by horizon
| Horizon | Avg return | Median | Win rate | Triggers scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day | ||||
| 10-day | ||||
| 20-day | ||||
| 60-day | ||||
A flat average with a ~50% win rate means the triggers carried no edge over simply holding for the horizon.
Alert leaderboard
Alerts ranked by average 5-day return.
Not trading advice — returns are gross of costs, slippage, and position sizing, and are limited to triggers whose ticker has daily price data.